You have to admit that the first time you read that the
Secret Service guarding Trump deleted multiple text messages sent on January
5th and 6th , you said to yourself “Secret Service - What the fuck?”
OK Here is my take on this:
We know that Trump almost strangled an agent who refused to drive him back to
the capital which was in the throes of a pro-Trump riot at that time. We also
know that Trump had put his loyalist agent, Tony Ornato, as Deputy Chief of
Staff. And we know that Ornato told people that Hutchinson’s account of this
episode “was not consistent with his understanding of the incident”. I assume
this means that he thinks that Trump did not try to strangle the agent. Another
fact we know is that V.P. Pence refused to enter the limo in the basement of
the capital and be driven by the Secret Service agents to a military base,
since he wanted to remain in the capital for the certifications of the true
electors.
Now think about what would have happened if Pence had been driven to a military
base at that time. The electors would not have been certified and Trump’s
people may have hanged Pence since he had no “spine”. In any case, this was the
Eastman and Giuliani scenario in which Pence did not certify the true electors
leading to the states.
The Eastman Proposal
1. VP Pence, presiding over the joint session (or Senate Pro Tempore Grassley,
if Pence recuses himself), begins to open and count the ballots, starting with
Alabama (without conceding that the procedure, specified by the Electoral Count
Act, of going through the States alphabetically is required).
2. When he gets to Arizona, he announces that he has multiple slates of
electors, and so is going to defer decision on that until finishing the other
States. This would be the first break with the procedure set out in the Act.
3. At the end, he announces that because of the ongoing disputes in the 7
States, there are no electors that can be deemed validly appointed in those
States. That means the total number of “electors appointed” – the language of
the 12th Amendment -- is 454. This reading of the 12th Amendment has also been
advanced by Harvard Law Professor Laurence Tribe (here). A “majority of the
electors appointed” would therefore be 228. There are at this point 232 votes
for Trump, 222 votes for Biden. Pence then gavels President Trump as
re-elected.
4. Howls, of course, from the Democrats, who now claim, contrary to Tribe’s
prior position, that 270 is required. So Pence says, fine. Pursuant to the 12th
Amendment, no candidate has achieved the necessary majority. That sends the
matter to the House, where the “the votes shall be taken by states, the
representation from each state having one vote.” Republicans currently control
26 of the state delegations, the bare majority needed to win that vote.
President Trump is re-elected there as well.
5. One last piece. Assuming the Electoral Count Act process
is followed and, upon getting the objections to the Arizona slates, the two
houses break into their separate chambers, we should not allow the Electoral
Count Act constraint on debate to control. That would mean that a prior
legislature was determining the rules of the present one — a constitutional
no-no (as Tribe has forcefully argued). So someone – Ted Cruz, Rand Paul, etc.
– should demand normal rules (which includes the filibuster). That creates a
stalemate that would give the state legislatures more time to weigh in to
formally support the alternate slate of electors, if they had not already done
so.
6. The main thing
here is that Pence should do this without asking for permission – either from a
vote of the joint session or from the Court. Let the other side challenge his
actions in court, where Tribe (who in 2001 conceded the President of the Senate
might be in charge of counting the votes) and others who would press a lawsuit
would have their past position -- that these are non-justiciable political
questions – thrown back at them, to get the lawsuit dismissed. The fact is that
the Constitution assigns this power to the Vice President as the ultimate
arbiter. We should take all of our actions with that in mind.
This suggests that the Secret Service agents did not want Biden to become
President and that Trump should! Voila - a coup has succeeded and democracy is
dead.!
No comments:
Post a Comment